Table 4a: Forecast Assessments

Region center No. Long Lat	1948-97 Jackknife skill probability Deterministic LEPS	correlation	RMSSS
1 46.875W 1.25S	0.246	0.697	42
2 46.875W 3.75S 3 43.125W 3.75S 4 39.375W 3.75S 5 35.625W 3.75S	0.240 0.266 0.306 0.265	0.711 0.752 0.761 0.760	39 43 44 45
6 46.875W 6.25S 7 43.125W 6.25S 8 *39.375W 6.25S 9 35.625W 6.25S	6.196 0.225 0.249 0.266	0.622 0.665 0.715 0.767	29 36 39 46
10 39.375W 8.75S 11 35.625W 8.75S	0.189 0.197	0.522 0.645	28 36

*Marks SNEBR region

Table 4b: Forecast Assessments

Region center No. Long Lat	1981-98 Independent Forecast skill probability Deterministic LEPS	correlation	RMSSS
1 46.875W 1.25S	0.193	0.789	44
2 46.875W 3.75S 3 43.125W 3.75S 4 39.375W 3.75S 5 35.625W 3.75S	0.186 0.246 0.248 0.219	0.824 0.800 0.757 0.747	49 46 44 44
6 46.875W 6.25S 7 43.125W 6.25S 8 *39.375W 6.25S 9 35.625W 6.25S	0.228 0.212 0.232 0.282	0.751 0.742 0.719 0.812	44 35 40 51
10 39.375W 8.75S 11 35.625W 8.75S	0.185 0.207	0.581 0.761	26 46

* Marks SNEBR region